Data, Predictive Models & BI

See what is changing.
Plan what comes next.

We build data pipelines, predictive models and business intelligence around the decisions your business makes. Customer behaviour, demand and operational performance become signals your team can evaluate and use.

Demand forecasts · retention models · business intelligence

Related workDistil.ai
2 to 4 weeksto a focused working proof
Senior engineeringresponsible for the implementation
Magus.DEMAND & REPLENISHMENT MODELS

Demand planning

Example
Historical demandForecast range
01
HistorySales + availability + promotions
02
ForecastRange over supplier lead time
03
PlanReplenishment exceptions for buyers

Back test against a baseline before rollout.

Join sales with availability, promotions and lead times.

01 · THE WORK

Built for the work your business needs

We build data pipelines, predictive models and business intelligence around the decisions your business makes. Customer behaviour, demand and operational performance become signals your team can evaluate and use.

02 · THE IMPLEMENTATION

Where it can make a difference

01

Customer and revenue

Analyse retention, customer value and opportunity quality to support commercial prioritisation.

02

Demand and capacity

Forecast product demand, workload or resource needs at the horizon the business can act on.

03

Business visibility

Connect agreed metrics, trends and exceptions in reporting that leads to an operational decision.

03 · THE IMPLEMENTATION

What we implement

01

A reliable baseline

Reconcile the history, agree business definitions and check whether the data can support the intended decision.

02

Models that can be tested

Compare predictions with a simple baseline and evaluate performance on unseen periods or records.

03

A route into action

Put the signal into the team’s workflow and monitor data quality and performance over time.

IMPLEMENTATION EXAMPLE

Replenishment that accounts for lead time and lost demand

A buying team plans replenishment across products and locations.

THE EVIDENCE

What the system needs

  • Sales history and stock availability
  • Promotions, seasonality and product changes
  • Supplier lead times, open orders and stock policy
THE CHECKS

What this example checks

  • Separate low demand from periods when the product could not be bought.
  • Forecast over the lead time horizon, not an arbitrary monthly average.
  • Expose uncertainty and cold start products rather than pretending all lines behave alike.
THE WORKING RESULT

What reaches the team

A replenishment view with expected demand, stock out exposure, excess stock risk and the exceptions that need a buyer.

The decision boundary

Buyers approve commitments and inventory trade offs. Model recommendations remain subject to commercial constraints.

WHAT THIS EXAMPLE WOULD TEST

Back test against a simple baseline using a time based holdout. Compare forecast error, bias, stock out exposure and excess stock implications at the relevant horizon.

Illustrative implementation scope. This describes a possible build, rather than a claimed client result.

05 · THE WORK

From a useful proof to daily use

Choose one decision and a meaningful baseline. Test predictive performance alongside the practical cost of a wrong recommendation and the benefit of acting earlier.

A focused proof of concept ships in 2 to 4 weeks. We use the findings to scope production integrations, access, monitoring, rollout and support.

DELIVERED THROUGH OUR SERVICES

The work behind the solution.

YOUR NEXT STEP

What would you do differently with a better signal?

Bring us one workflow, real examples and the people who know the work. We’ll identify a practical first build.

LET’S START WITH THE WORK

Book a discovery call.

Tell us where the work gets stuck. We’ll explore a practical first project with our senior AI engineering team.

YOUR PRIVACY